Acceptable-Compulsion
0xbd09d2dfd4360d388a7549d57068e6736cd6abc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
177
Open notional
$1.27
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$246.43
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 177- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
150 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.27
$0.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
7341 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
4500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
2555 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
2399 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
2039 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Trump out as President in 2025?
1701 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: Other$0.75Feb 9, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$3.00Jan 29, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$6.00Jan 29, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$7.00Jan 29, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 29, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 29, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$4.00Jan 29, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$6.00Jan 29, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYPaddy Pimblett Staph Infection by Feb. 1st?$6.60Jan 28, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$14.00Jan 28, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$6.00Jan 28, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$6.00Jan 28, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$4.00Jan 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$6.00Jan 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$6.00Jan 28, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$6.00Jan 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during January press conference?$4.00Jan 28, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during January press conference?$2.00Jan 28, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".