Gaseous-Sentiment
0xbd0be1046f8aa55fad512de91ddc53d3be688a03
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.4K
Realised
$204.55
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
1384 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-222.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
1253 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-521.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
1160 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-433.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
991 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-283.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
903 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-463.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
901 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-190.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
802 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-427.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
784 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-64.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
767 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-446.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
757 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-243.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$42.64Jul 21, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$15.42Jul 21, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$7.21Jul 21, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$3.09Jul 21, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$2.90Jul 21, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.94Jul 21, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$3.05Jul 21, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$3.11Jul 21, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$3.26Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.98Jul 21, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$3.09Jul 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$3.15Jul 21, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$3.13Jul 21, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$3.17Jul 20, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$3.12Jul 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$3.05Jul 20, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$3.08Jul 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$3.10Jul 20, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$3.12Jul 20, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$3.08Jul 20, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.