Spherical-Casement-Violence
0xbd0d0c4bfc88dad382674c9d5ae483dae8261fb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$455.61
Total PnL
$-67.53
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on June 14?
133 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$132.83
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or below on June 14?
90 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$89.06
$-0.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 14?
60 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$59.97
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13?
40 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$39.98
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 13?
40 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$39.98
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 13?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$19.99
$0.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 13?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$19.99
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 13?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$9.99
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 14?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.96
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 14?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.96
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 13?$89.73Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on June 14?$122.87Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13?$39.92Jun 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 14?$59.83Jun 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or below on June 14?$9.93Jun 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or below on June 14?$59.71Jun 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or below on June 14?$9.94Jun 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or below on June 14?$9.93Jun 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 14?$9.96Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 14?$9.95Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 13?$39.89Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13?$4.86Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 13?$19.81Jun 13, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on June 14?$9.97Jun 13, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 14?$9.85Jun 13, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 12?$50.00Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 12?$35.00Jun 13, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 12?$5.00Jun 13, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 12?$40.00Jun 12, 23:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $27.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.