Spherical-Casement-Violence
0xbd0d0c4bfc88dad382674c9d5ae483dae8261fb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.2K
Realised
$-241.04
Win rate
31%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
1705 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-911.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
1352 shares @ 73.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
1326 shares @ 51.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-680.00
- YES
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
978 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-525.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
637 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-345.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
466 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
411 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-209.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
399 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
361 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-185.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$12.43Jul 30, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $1.00 in July?$0.49Jul 30, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$3.03Jul 30, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$576.06Jul 30, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$364.65Jul 30, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$269.25Jul 30, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$748.99Jul 30, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$10.31Jul 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$237.84Jul 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$5.26Jul 30, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$102.66Jul 30, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$5.34Jul 30, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$20.77Jul 30, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$10.13Jul 30, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$4.78Jul 30, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.07Jul 30, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.06Jul 30, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$154.98Jul 30, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$10.02Jul 30, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $77.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 06:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 08:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.