Original-Fabric
0xbd1144239278c8f203787219b3d4c1e5c93d2057
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-1.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 86.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3,700 October 13-19?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.00Oct 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Oct 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3,700 October 13-19?$1.00Oct 17, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 17, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$1.00Oct 17, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2200 on July 4?$1.10Oct 17, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?$1.00Jul 3, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2200 on July 4?$1.10Jul 3, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$0.00Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMMagnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?$0.00Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?$0.00Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden pardon SBF?$1.19Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?$1.67Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMTrump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?$2.50Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?$2.55Jul 3, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?$1.20Jan 15, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?$1.60Jan 15, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?$1.10Jan 15, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?$2.05Jan 15, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMNotre Dame vs. Georgia$2.50Jan 15, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $430.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 05:36 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 17, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".