Immaculate-Waterfall
0xbd13854daa21ff42f21efac7bcca2d6020b1854f
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Cowboys hire Kellen Moore as their next head coach?$0.00Jan 26, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 52% and 54% on January 31?$6.05Jan 24, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders?$6.05Jan 24, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00Jan 22, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?$5.70Jan 15, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$2.70Jan 14, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$3.00Jan 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cowboys hire Kellen Moore as their next head coach?$3.15Jan 14, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$0.09Jan 14, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$2.24Jan 14, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMPalisades fire burns 15,000-20,000 acres by Friday?$0.00Jan 11, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMPalisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday?$0.00Jan 9, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalisades fire burns 15,000-20,000 acres by Friday?$5.00Jan 9, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMPalisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday?$5.05Jan 9, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders?$6.00Jan 8, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday?$5.00Jan 8, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$3.00Jan 8, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$2.00Jan 8, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$5.00Jan 8, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$5.00Jan 8, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $4.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.