Burdensome-Deer
0xbd1631f8a6750c425130c70b698137e9a33aa0ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$550.94
Total PnL
$-492.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
510 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$500.06
$245.06
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?
41 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$40.94
$0.18
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
510 shares @ 50.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.95
$-245.06
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
984 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-492.21
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$40.75Jun 7, 17:59 UTC
- SPLITWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$510.00Jun 7, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?$400.00Jun 7, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?$398.00May 11, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 14?$50.00May 8, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15?$80.00May 8, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15?$79.44Apr 13, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 14?$49.90Apr 12, 23:09 UTC
- MERGEWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$26.58Apr 12, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$521.74Apr 12, 06:42 UTC
- SPLITWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.0KApr 12, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$101.00Apr 12, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$101.00Apr 12, 06:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $378.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.