Knotty-Caution
0xbd1a8dae15a189e8f78e338d2dbc6f91b3014fbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.01
Total PnL
$-213.15
Realised
$6.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Was Kanye hacked?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 28?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?
1803 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2024$0.00
$-28.84
- YES
Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?
1266 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- VIKINGS
Vikings vs. Steelers
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
443 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-30.99
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVikings vs. Steelers$50.00Sep 28, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLVikings vs. Steelers$26.67Sep 28, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 28?$5.00Sep 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYVikings vs. Steelers$20.00Sep 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Kanye hacked?$1.00Aug 21, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.00Aug 21, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?$100.00Apr 4, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYJake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?$28.84Nov 17, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$30.99Nov 16, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $29.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 28, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".