Spicy-Motivation
0xbd1c1f933a4ecd07815d73c2ff7c4ffd2800c43f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Republicans control 225 seats in the House after the election?
730 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?
149 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.67
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
146 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-40.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$40.92Nov 9, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.61Jan 27, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.82Jan 11, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.58Jan 5, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk arrested in 2024?$2.59Jan 3, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.65Jan 2, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk arrested in 2024?$2.59Dec 31, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?$0.78Dec 25, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?$0.83Dec 25, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$0.70Dec 23, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$0.70Dec 23, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.58Dec 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran peace deal in 2024?$1.87Dec 10, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran peace deal in 2024?$1.80Dec 10, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$0.91Dec 7, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$1.10Dec 7, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$0.82Dec 7, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$1.03Dec 7, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?$0.78Dec 5, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?$1.17Dec 5, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 02:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 9, 17:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".