Primary-Harpooner
0xbd1f95ef883123bd9215af9359a2c8405d83e7ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.1K
Realised
$461.87
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
3630 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-769.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
3425 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-331.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
2915 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-665.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
2775 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-382.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
2525 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-152.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
2500 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-162.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
2426 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-167.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
2018 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-357.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
1965 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-454.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
1957 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-763.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.82Jul 21, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$41.06Jul 21, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$200.00Jul 21, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$444.42Jul 21, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$43.88Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$16.36Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$13.50Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.43Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.49Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$3.24Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.45Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.00Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.49Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.45Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.25Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$7.70Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.35Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$4.46Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$15.98Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$14.98Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $33.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.