0xbd241bdb3158f7db2b7f8379db6c481e8ad91ce9
0xbd241bdb3158f7db2b7f8379db6c481e8ad91ce9
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$55.09
Total PnL
$-43.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 17?
167 shares @ 4.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$13.08
$6.42
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 18?
1600 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$12.00
$-6.07
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on May 18?
258 shares @ 4.1¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 18, 2026$6.06
$-4.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 17?
125 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.56
$-1.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 17?
177 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.43
$-1.24
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 19?
313 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.22
$-3.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 17?
417 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.71
$-6.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 17?
417 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.50
$-6.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 18?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on May 17?
33 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.48
$-0.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 17?$2.31May 16, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 17?$0.13May 16, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 17?$0.05May 16, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 17?$0.24May 16, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 17?$0.16May 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 17?$0.16May 16, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 17?$1.60May 16, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 17?$5.14May 16, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 17?$1.28May 16, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 17?$0.11May 16, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 17?$0.11May 16, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 17?$0.05May 16, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 17?$0.11May 16, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 17?$0.11May 16, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 17?$0.16May 16, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 17?$0.16May 16, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 17?$0.11May 16, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 17?$0.16May 16, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 18?$8.00May 16, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 18?$2.00May 16, 04:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 11:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".