Popular-Tornado
0xbd2b85033cc53cd3785109660b23d0a3c23d74ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-190.59
Realised
$-5.81
Win rate
0%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 22?
68 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?
31 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 19?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 21?
19 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 24?
18 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 8?
17 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 12?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.96Aug 14, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.96Aug 14, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.96Aug 14, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.96Aug 14, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.96Aug 14, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.95Aug 14, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.91Aug 14, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$2.09Aug 14, 09:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 70 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
70 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.