Physical-Formation
0xbd34d3285b1104909a8f4b3856c6450ee6d069c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$35.30
Total PnL
$-222.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 31?
35 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$35.30
$1.20
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 26?
286 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 10?
284 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or higher on November 13?
281 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 4?
278 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 3?
276 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 23?
275 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.42
- YES
Will Solana dip to $110 November 10-16?
274 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 2?
274 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.37
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on November 21?
273 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 28?$1.43Apr 28, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 21?$124.48Apr 28, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 21?$0.48Apr 21, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 21?$122.76Apr 21, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 28?$129.00Apr 18, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on November 26?$0.00Apr 11, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $120 on November 18?$0.00Mar 31, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 31?$33.81Mar 31, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 31?$0.29Mar 31, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 20?$0.00Mar 29, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 28?$127.71Mar 28, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 26?$2.45Mar 25, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 23?$1.70Mar 23, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 21?$1.82Mar 22, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 20?$2.59Mar 20, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?$69.67Feb 2, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?$108.33Feb 1, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $10 in January?$1.04Jan 31, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 31?$2.66Jan 31, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 31?$0.14Jan 31, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $39.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 00:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".