Alert-Grapefruit
0xbd36598f99552ab7a104e256344529d11142e5b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4M
Realised
$-442.1K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1552704 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-784.1K
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
342491 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-199.9K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
26000 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-9.3K
- TRUMP
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2024$0.00
$-99.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump claims victory before AP calls the election?$1.9KNov 12, 16:10 UTC
- REWARD$6.81Nov 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$17.4KNov 6, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1.6KNov 6, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$5.5KNov 6, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$3.7KNov 6, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$16.7KNov 6, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$734.77Nov 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$5.5KNov 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1.1KNov 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$922.17Nov 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$82.50Nov 6, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$826.65Nov 6, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$133.10Nov 6, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$440.00Nov 6, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$12.22Nov 6, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$46.70Nov 6, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$7.57Nov 6, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1.4KNov 6, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$542.30Nov 6, 02:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 16:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".