Upset-Cassock
0xbd3d3bd2f1e75847ba84cdb631152c90ecac9220
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$57.88
Total PnL
$-445.47
Realised
$-71.94
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
185 shares @ 34.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$37.88
$-25.04
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
257 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.43
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
229 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-117.29
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
218 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-46.88
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
200 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?
112 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.23
- LIGHTNING
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
37 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.17
- UNDER
Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
27 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
- AVALANCHE
Predators vs. Avalanche
21 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$35.77Jun 1, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$20.00Jun 1, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?$6.01Jun 1, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$19.39Jun 1, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$11.64Jun 1, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek$5.08May 31, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek$5.05May 31, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$20.36May 30, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$41.60May 30, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$24.44May 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$11.20May 29, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2.83May 29, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$41.10May 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.98May 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.99May 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3.19May 28, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$88.24May 28, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$15.39May 28, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$17.68May 28, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$13.82May 28, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $21.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".