Sunny-Somebody
0xbd3e91f86c512427659060bf131c855b5490feb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.15
Total PnL
$-473.66
Realised
$-3.15
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 23?
15 shares @ 1.3¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.31
$0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 23?
33 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.25
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 23?
7 shares @ 2.8¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.23
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 23?
13 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.20
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 23?
13 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.17
$-0.03
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 8 above $420?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $245-$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of December 8 above $181?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on December 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $295-$300 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 23?$0.17Jul 21, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 23?$0.03Jul 21, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?$0.32Jul 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 23?$0.24Jul 21, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?$0.30Jul 21, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 23?$0.03Jul 21, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 23?$0.11Jul 21, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 23?$0.45Jul 21, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 23?$0.13Jul 21, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 23?$0.20Jul 21, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 21, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 23?$0.02Jul 21, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 23?$0.40Jul 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 23?$0.06Jul 21, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 23?$0.04Jul 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 23?$0.04Jul 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 23?$0.04Jul 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 23?$0.04Jul 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 23?$0.04Jul 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 23?$0.06Jul 21, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $0.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.