Sparse-Evolution
0xbd3fff6ee9e214b841bae8f93d7234fa5f169991
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-81.07
Realised
$0.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?
800 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
611 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.52
- YES
Will 'The Accountant 2' gross more than $31m on opening weekend?
535 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
380 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Israel strike on Iran on June 18?
268 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- REAL MADRID
Supercopa Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
24 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2025$0.00
$-12.28
- YES
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
22 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 18?$1.17Jun 18, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 18?$1.00Jun 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.77Jun 18, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.90May 25, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.30May 25, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$3.00May 8, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$4.00May 8, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$3.00Apr 24, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$2.00Apr 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Apr 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Europe?$1.00Apr 24, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?$8.00Apr 24, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.52Apr 23, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Accountant 2' gross more than $31m on opening weekend?$27.00Apr 23, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$0.13Feb 23, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$64.04Feb 23, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$24.34Feb 23, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$1.59Feb 5, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.59Feb 5, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$4.44Jan 27, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".