Positive-Handicap
0xbd4393165f3b28be5a127c67e22925d59b898dc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$123.24
Total PnL
$-15.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?
15 shares @ 66.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$8.92
$-1.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?
10 shares @ 66.5¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$7.60
$0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?
10 shares @ 66.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$6.15
$-0.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 22?
5 shares @ 59.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$4.99
$2.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$4.99
$1.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 22?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$4.60
$1.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 23?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.44
$-0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 22?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$4.40
$1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 22?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$3.73
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 22?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$3.73
$0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 23?$4.62Jun 22, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 22?$0.00Jun 22, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 23?$1.86Jun 22, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?$7.14Jun 22, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24?$3.05Jun 22, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?$3.45Jun 22, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?$1.02Jun 22, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?$2.57Jun 22, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24?$2.75Jun 22, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 24?$3.10Jun 22, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or below on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or below on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?$2.75Jun 22, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 22?$6.43Jun 22, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 22?$4.99Jun 22, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 22?$4.99Jun 22, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.