Obvious-Grocery
0xbd45e5a222091b061d0b3fd007d69fa4681b87b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$573.37
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$5.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3954 shares @ 17.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$573.37
$-126.63
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1875 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1680 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12PM ET
1607 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-245.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET
1144 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-244.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
993 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-198.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
868 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-198.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
627 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-99.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8PM ET
624 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-199.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 5PM ET
560 shares @ 89.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$200.00Mar 22, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$100.00Mar 7, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$500.00Mar 7, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$100.00Mar 7, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 7, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$500.00Feb 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$100.00Feb 16, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$120.00Feb 15, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$20.00Feb 15, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$315.66Feb 15, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$20.00Feb 15, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$300.00Feb 15, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.5KFeb 15, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$284.41Feb 15, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.5KFeb 15, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$100.00Feb 15, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$100.00Feb 15, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00Feb 14, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$64.95Feb 14, 22:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $295.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 15:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".