0xbd48da6201c32e0059edb089b0133c5b187fcd78
0xbd48da6201c32e0059edb089b0133c5b187fcd78
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$7.77
Total PnL
$-9.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?
1 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Austria recognize Palestine in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?$11.36Oct 28, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Oct 27, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$1.00Oct 27, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 27, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.00Oct 27, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Oct 27, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Oct 27, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$5.00Oct 27, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?$5.00Oct 27, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".