Idle-Celsius
0xbd4bdea33cbfd8c808d02393b13245f14297e00c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$40.66
Total PnL
$20.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$10.43Jul 21, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$10.61Jun 2, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?$2.67Apr 23, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?$4.70Apr 23, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?$4.82Apr 23, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$4.93Apr 23, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ThunderTalk Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?$4.98Apr 23, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ThunderTalk Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?$4.95Apr 10, 08:30 UTC
- REWARD$1.10Apr 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?$4.55Mar 27, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$4.56Mar 27, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?$4.85Mar 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 29?$3.45Mar 2, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 29?$2.45Jan 29, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?$2.71Dec 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.80 on November 2?$10.01Dec 9, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.80 on November 2?$10.00Nov 2, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 20, 3AM ET$1.2KOct 20, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 20, 3AM ET$623.50Oct 20, 04:26 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - October 20, 3AM ET$1.2KOct 20, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $26.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 20:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 03:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.