Rapid-Adulthood
0xbd4d7bfc13bf739ddd8499bf179745b729495600
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.35
Total PnL
$-4.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$2.22Jan 2, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.03Jan 2, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.06Jan 2, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$2.06Jan 2, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?$1.00Jan 2, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$2.00Dec 15, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.08Dec 15, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.48Dec 15, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.00Nov 17, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Nov 13, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?$3.02Nov 13, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.07Nov 5, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.14Nov 5, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?$3.00Nov 5, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 3, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.00Nov 3, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.00Nov 3, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 30, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$2.00Oct 25, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by November 30?$1.00Oct 25, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.