Cautious-Mom
0xbd530e4cc037bef55729e5ad7ea95612348b2455
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$1.25
Total PnL
$-142.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.06
$-9.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
2826 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
965 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
817 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
773 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.64Jan 26, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$4.00Jan 26, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$3.00Jan 26, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$3.00Jan 26, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$3.00Jan 26, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$8.00Jan 26, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$5.00Jan 26, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$5.00Jan 26, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$5.00Jan 26, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$5.00Jan 26, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$5.00Jan 26, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$3.00Jan 26, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$3.00Jan 26, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$5.00Jan 26, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 23:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 23:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.