Scary-Play
0xbd577fe8119df06bf366a40bcb825be556f432b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$141.97
Total PnL
$-726.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
143 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$141.97
$8.95
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $350?
575 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-34.50
- NO
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
564 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-90.24
- YES
Will FC Hermannstadt win on 2026-03-15?
283 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-84.96
- YES
Will there be less than 200k initial jobless claims during the week ending February 14, 2026?
256 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.98
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 12 above $245?
242 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.17
- UNDER
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5
209 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-169.10
- YES
Will Grok be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
188 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.44
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 17?
183 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-35.26
- YES
Will Momoka Horikawa (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
179 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.47
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jason Anavitarte win the GA-14 special election?$108.28Apr 9, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYShenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5$169.10Mar 31, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $160-$162 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$201.97Mar 30, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $160-$162 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$175.71Mar 24, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $350?$34.50Mar 24, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5$220.97Mar 23, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$90.24Mar 22, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5$185.61Mar 18, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kristiansund BK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?$296.00Mar 17, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Hermannstadt win on 2026-03-15?$84.96Mar 12, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristiansund BK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?$224.96Mar 9, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMFirst Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei$304.05Mar 9, 01:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.12Mar 8, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei$55.32Mar 7, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei$20.52Mar 7, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei$0.81Mar 7, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei$0.81Mar 7, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei$0.81Mar 7, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei$0.18Mar 7, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei$1.80Mar 7, 07:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $61.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".