Needy-Giggle
0xbd58191317c8ee63e05777c1faa569e673de60bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-253.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?
268 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 4?
264 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 11?
263 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 14?
259 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 11?
258 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 7?
248 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 11?
242 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 11PM ET
240 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 17?
238 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 17?
235 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 1?$0.00Apr 28, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?$2.29Apr 15, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 13?$3.53Apr 12, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 December 29-January 4?$0.00Apr 10, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 1?$0.00Apr 1, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 2?$0.00Mar 31, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 17?$0.00Mar 29, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?$2.93Mar 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 28?$1.65Mar 27, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 22?$1.51Mar 22, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 18?$92.91Mar 18, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?$34.48Feb 27, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?$34.48Feb 27, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?$0.33Jan 30, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?$71.33Jan 30, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 19-25?$0.17Jan 25, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 19-25?$37.74Jan 25, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMDelaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Liberty Flames$38.16Jan 25, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Liberty Flames$35.11Jan 24, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMLouisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers$34.57Jan 24, 10:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $17.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 21:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 00:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.