Confused-Snowmobiling
0xbd58d33e6e675c52bac4912de1c4c8d7bc18879a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$26.93
Total PnL
$-70.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-21?
9 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$8.64
$1.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 19?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$6.19
$0.93
- NO
Will New Zealand record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$5.23
$0.78
- YES
Will "Sinners" win Best Original Score at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$5.23
$0.78
- LEO
Valorant: LEO vs MIR (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B
2 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.64
$1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
630 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
50 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win Best Original Score at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$4.45Feb 19, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$4.45Feb 19, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.35Feb 19, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 19?$5.26Feb 19, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 16 above $310?$6.97Feb 19, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-21?$7.34Feb 19, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.90Feb 18, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Green attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.45Feb 18, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.30Feb 18, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: UNIWAY vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B$0.22Feb 18, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLCA Platense vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5$0.36Feb 18, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)$0.02Feb 18, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: LEO vs MIR (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B$0.64Feb 18, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Platense vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5$1.95Feb 18, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: UNIWAY vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B$2.07Feb 18, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)$1.67Feb 18, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLKHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Spartak Moscow$0.18Feb 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Spartak Moscow$1.60Feb 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLSet 1 Winner: Sawashiro vs Vidmanova$0.02Feb 18, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta (META) finish week of February 16 above $710?$0.05Feb 18, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".