Bad-Grenade
0xbd5b56c43ab18d132dc5dcace1e5d8f97e94605c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-548.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Solana reach $160 in March?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
BNB Up or Down - March 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?
9694 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on March 30?
3088 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 30?
2926 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $100 in March?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
1540 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on March 30?
1484 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 30?
1364 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
714 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$40.44Mar 30, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.00Mar 30, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on March 30?$10.00Mar 30, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.90 on March 30?$10.00Mar 30, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain again in March?$10.00Mar 30, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$10.00Mar 30, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$10.00Mar 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in March?$10.00Mar 30, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in March?$10.00Mar 30, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 30?$10.00Mar 30, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?$10.00Mar 30, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 30?$20.00Mar 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 30?$10.00Mar 30, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$32.82Mar 30, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$20.00Mar 30, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$43.41Mar 30, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$20.00Mar 30, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$10.00Mar 30, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$144.38Mar 30, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $43.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.