Leading-Hobby
0xbd67981ebc247d3eee89160e859e91cd190e8f09
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$271.30
Total PnL
$-1.55
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
55 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$54.53
$-0.03
- NO
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
54 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$53.59
$-0.03
- NO
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
26 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$26.00
$0.05
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$0.02
- NO
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$0.02
- NO
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?
19 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$18.78
$-0.14
- NO
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?
18 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$17.89
$-0.04
- NO
Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?
17 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$16.95
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$13.00
$0.06
- NO
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$10.90
$-0.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$10.00Jun 4, 04:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$20.00May 30, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$55.00May 30, 07:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $24.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.