0xbd6d646b2c713ce7459afcb1502f34c30f93ed0b
0xbd6d646b2c713ce7459afcb1502f34c30f93ed0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$1.2K
Realised
$-180.33
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
4310 shares @ 54.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.9K
$1.5K
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30?
850 shares @ 80.7¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$832.15
$146.15
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 25.7¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$465.00
$-49.20
- NO
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by June 30?
426 shares @ 30.7¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$376.57
$245.92
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
1313 shares @ 14.8¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$288.88
$94.06
- NO
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
288 shares @ 40.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$264.73
$147.31
- NO
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by June 30?
230 shares @ 80.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$207.71
$22.71
- YES
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.0B?
200 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$188.00
$18.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 16.9¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$166.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2033 shares @ 7.7¢·now 7.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$151.48
$-5.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.89Jun 13, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.81Jun 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.17Jun 13, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.87Jun 13, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.89Jun 13, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.89Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35.00Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$173.21Jun 13, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.72Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.72Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.75Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.81Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.23Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.73Jun 13, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.37Jun 13, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$108.84Jun 13, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81.18Jun 13, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.48Jun 13, 05:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $44.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.