Scarce-Seller
0xbd735c8fd1a15c5565a8feb006eee77bcb742db4
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$8.59
Total PnL
$3.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$5.00
$3.50
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times in Michigan?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$2.35
$-0.40
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?
3 shares @ 28.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.24
$0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?$0.913h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times in Michigan?$2.753h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?$0.6713h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?$0.8313h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$5.0022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$1.473d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$1.833d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$5.093d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$2.805d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Wall Street" during WHCA Dinner events?$0.016d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "First Lady" or "Movie Star" during WHCA Dinner events?$0.036d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Kennedy" during WHCA Dinner events?$2.756d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "First Lady" or "Movie Star" during WHCA Dinner events?$2.276d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Wall Street" during WHCA Dinner events?$2.006d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "First Amendment" during WHCA Dinner events?$2.258d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "First Amendment" during WHCA Dinner events?$1.5510d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kennedy" during WHCA Dinner events?$2.0010d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Job" 12+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$5.7312d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Medal of Freedom" during TPUSA events on April 17?$0.0914d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 27d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".