Married-Tapioca
0xbd749a2159baa67a49109a949752f984d1fe817a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$7.97
Total PnL
$-19.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
89 shares @ 10.1¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.97
$-1.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
8508 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
4431 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2217 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2217 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2217 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2217 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2217 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2216 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
2215 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.99Mar 28, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta reach $810 in February?$3.03Mar 28, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta reach $810 in February?$3.00Feb 6, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.00Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMJimmy Lai released by January 31?$1.00Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton charged by January 31?$1.01Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?$1.01Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?$1.02Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.02Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?$1.03Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.03Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?$1.03Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake by January 31?$1.04Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMBody-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?$1.05Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?$1.05Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Iraq by January 31?$1.08Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro trial scheduled by January 31?$24.01Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: January$440.00Feb 6, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro trial scheduled by January 31?$22.79Jan 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: January$242.00Jan 13, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $33.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 02:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".