Bold-Compensation
0xbd76d094724233009896ee57bc1b67d4c81c4b9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$342.14
Total PnL
$3.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
283 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$283.48
$5.48
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
24 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$23.68
$1.68
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
23 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.94
$1.94
- YES
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
5 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
37 shares @ 19.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.57
$-6.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$278.00Oct 30, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?$2.56Oct 30, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-25?$3.26Oct 30, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lille OSC win on 2025-10-26?$4.05Oct 30, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 21?$31.82Oct 30, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$42.22Oct 30, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$59.76Oct 30, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$6.00Oct 21, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?$2.00Oct 21, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$21.00Oct 21, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$5.00Oct 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.00Oct 20, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lille OSC win on 2025-10-26?$3.00Oct 20, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-25?$3.00Oct 20, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$87.00Oct 20, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 21?$28.00Oct 20, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$38.00Oct 20, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$22.00Oct 20, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $43.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 07:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.