Scaly-Gun
0xbd7c2369c645347873fb02961a96d4a03cbaee32
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
145
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-160.59
Win rate
0%
145 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
671 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
600 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
583 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
256 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
251 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
250 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.03Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$11.99Jul 4, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$25.89Jul 4, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$5.14Jul 3, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?$10.24Jul 3, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$25.38Jul 3, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jul 3, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$40.94Jul 3, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$25.68Jul 3, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Jul 3, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$40.87Jul 3, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$25.68Jul 3, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.00Jul 3, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$35.71Jul 3, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$25.52Jul 3, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.29Jul 3, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$20.83Jul 3, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$10.16Jul 2, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.00Jul 2, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 145 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
145 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $19.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 145 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.