Ill-Fated-Mix
0xbd807bd934bbe1e168ee206bdd8b3ecea1e81266
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-642.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1427 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
900 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$102.00Feb 17, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$400.00Feb 10, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$40.00Feb 7, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$100.00Jan 30, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$0.00Jan 28, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?$396.89Jan 27, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Historic" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$0.00Jan 22, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?$199.00Jan 22, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Accord" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$0.00Jan 22, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Accord" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$198.96Jan 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Accord" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$110.00Jan 22, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Historic" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$100.00Jan 22, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$209.66Jan 22, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$195.00Jan 22, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$23.70Sep 8, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $170.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 22:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.