0xbd8206e42b09f02d93bb582485763cf35067e638
0xbd8206e42b09f02d93bb582485763cf35067e638
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$171.99
Total PnL
$116.43
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will US inflation be more than 0.3% from December 2022 to January 2023?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2023$99.99
$98.99
- YES
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
65 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$65.00
$32.48
- CELTICS
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2022$7.00
$3.50
- GUARDIANS
MLB: Who will win Cleveland Guardians v. San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 23, 9:40 PM ET?
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2022$0.00
$-7.50
- PADRES
MLB: Who will win Cleveland Guardians v. San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 23, 9:40 PM ET?
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2022$0.00
$-7.50
- WARRIORS
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2022$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022?$476.05Jun 13, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US inflation be more than 0.3% from December 2022 to January 2023?$1.00Feb 3, 03:16 UTC
- MERGE[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$115.00Jan 12, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$10.20Nov 21, 21:15 UTC
- SPLIT[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$100.00Nov 21, 19:42 UTC
- SPLIT[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$15.00Oct 19, 04:50 UTC
- SPLITMLB: Who will win Cleveland Guardians v. San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 23, 9:40 PM ET?$15.00Oct 19, 04:39 UTC
- SPLITWill the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022?$10.00Aug 25, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMMLB: Who will win Cleveland Guardians v. San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 23, 9:40 PM ET?$1.2KAug 24, 19:47 UTC
- SPLITMLB: Who will win Cleveland Guardians v. San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 23, 9:40 PM ET?$500.00Aug 23, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMMLB: Who will win Los Angeles Dodgers v. Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for August 17, 8:10 PM ET?$1.3KAug 23, 20:48 UTC
- SPLITMLB: Who will win Los Angeles Dodgers v. Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for August 17, 8:10 PM ET?$500.00Aug 17, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMMLB: Who will win New York Mets v. Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 16, 7:20 PM ET?$1.1KAug 17, 15:27 UTC
- SPLITMLB: Who will win New York Mets v. Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 16, 7:20 PM ET?$500.00Aug 16, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMPremier League: Who will win the Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool game on August 15?$0.00Aug 16, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMMLB: Who will win San Diego Padres v. Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 15, 6:40 PM ET?$1.0KAug 16, 15:05 UTC
- SPLITMLB: Who will win San Diego Padres v. Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 15, 6:40 PM ET?$500.00Aug 15, 17:19 UTC
- SPLITPremier League: Who will win the Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool game on August 15?$500.00Aug 15, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMMLB: Who will win New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 14, 7:08 PM ET?$746.14Aug 15, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMNFL Preseason: Who will win Minnesota Vikings v. Las Vegas Raiders, scheduled for August 14, 4:25 PM ET?$0.01Aug 15, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $5.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".