Polite-Birth
0xbd87c12afac4c5603b1c129907358dd067ca01a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.4K
Realised
$46.75
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
20230 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-04?
2105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?
1497 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-530.78
- YES
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?
1166 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-61.33
- YES
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-11-01?
1000 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-560.00
- YES
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-10-29?
1000 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-340.00
- YES
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-02?
999 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-289.83
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?
989 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-124.20
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?
900 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-473.00
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?
831 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-399.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?$0.00Dec 8, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?$37.69Dec 7, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-12-06?$26.00Dec 7, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CF Monterrey win on 2025-12-06?$15.00Dec 7, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$3.11Dec 6, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$5.81Dec 6, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$4.85Dec 6, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$0.57Dec 6, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$0.57Dec 6, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$25.95Dec 6, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$1.80Dec 6, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$6.48Dec 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$2.40Dec 6, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$0.57Dec 6, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$3.89Dec 6, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$0.56Dec 6, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$15.46Dec 6, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?$50.00Dec 6, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?$99.90Dec 6, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-06?$99.90Dec 6, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $38.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 06:37 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 04:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".