Homely-Empire
0xbd89ec82ab812669ea7c34e2fa3a0869ca500e75
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.03
Realised
$-2.40
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ARCADE ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Group B
9 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00Jun 8, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.07Jun 8, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Jun 8, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.07Jun 8, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.19Jun 7, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.00Mar 13, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.16Mar 13, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.00Mar 13, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.89Mar 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10AM ET$0.71Mar 13, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10AM ET$2.00Mar 13, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.46Mar 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.00Mar 13, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.29Mar 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.10Mar 13, 14:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 13:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.