Scratchy-Ordinary
0xbd8dd8f73db1f6a856f0ff95035350cb4d1c5a40
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$46.92
Total PnL
$-17.11
Realised
$-14.73
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?
7 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$6.75
$0.08
- NO
Will France win Eurovision 2025?
6 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$6.22
$0.56
- NO
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
6 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$6.18
$0.49
- NO
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?
6 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$6.17
$0.27
- NO
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
6 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$5.56
$0.13
- NO
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$5.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
5 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$4.68
$0.08
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
3 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$2.94
$0.21
- YES
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
2 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$2.04
$0.08
- NO
Arsenal wins the Premier League?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.35
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$5.69Apr 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$5.00Apr 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$4.60Apr 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?$5.90Apr 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.20Apr 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$7.90Apr 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLArsenal wins the Premier League?$8.94Apr 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$1.00Apr 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$1.00Apr 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2025?$6.67Apr 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$5.43Apr 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2025?$5.66Apr 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on March 31?$0.00Apr 17, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$0.00Apr 17, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMPump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?$11.12Apr 17, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMLinea airdrop in Q1 2025?$13.05Apr 17, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$11.00Mar 23, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on March 31?$11.00Mar 23, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$22.22Mar 23, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLinea airdrop in Q1 2025?$13.00Mar 23, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $428.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 05:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.