Well-Groomed-Alder
0xbd966a264073f2e4b7bd44e740abd4d28d282dd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 80% by March 31?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 29?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 8–10 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on March 29?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on March 29?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$5.20May 20, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMBengaluru 2: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Sasikumar Mukund$10.00May 20, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengaluru 2: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Sasikumar Mukund$8.64May 12, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$18.29May 12, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$15.08May 11, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crusaders win?$9.97May 11, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crusaders win?$9.10Apr 24, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMEagles vs. Chargers$0.00Mar 28, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Knicks$0.00Mar 28, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMPelicans vs. Bulls$0.00Mar 28, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Hornets$0.00Mar 28, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Pelicans$0.00Mar 28, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Wizards$0.00Mar 28, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Hawks$0.00Mar 28, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 4750 on the final trading day of Q1 2026?$1.00Mar 28, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 28, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$1.00Mar 28, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the March meeting?$1.00Mar 28, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Captive" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.00Mar 28, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "They Will Kill You" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.00Mar 28, 10:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".