Expensive-Movement
0xbd9f7b0326a3dacb22f3376abbd62f5f9585e6c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$413.70
Total PnL
$-997.61
Realised
$-1.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
431 shares @ 65.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$413.70
$133.70
- NO
Will December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
27406 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-518.47
- YES
Will December 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?
9044 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-285.14
- YES
Will December 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?
371 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.07
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
284 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.14
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
163 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-45.38
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $190 before 2026??
101 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?
94 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-38.74
- NO
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
79 shares @ 87.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-68.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$518.48Jan 12, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill December 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?$13.06Jan 9, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.67Jan 9, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?$2.50Jan 9, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$8.89Jan 9, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill December 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?$7.10Jan 6, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$7.10Jan 6, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$45.38Jan 4, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill December 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?$250.00Jan 4, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $165 before 2026??$72.07Jan 4, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill December 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?$14.99Dec 11, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill December 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?$6.07Dec 11, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference?$0.00Dec 11, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$0.00Dec 11, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference?$9.62Dec 11, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$11.45Dec 11, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?$38.74Dec 10, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?$9.09Dec 10, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?$29.41Dec 10, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?$0.03Dec 10, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $30.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 15:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".