Upright-Switching
0xbda0c6ac3f8337fecf971e1cfdbae40ad8231caa
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-329.99
Realised
$0.67
Win rate
10%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
129 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
109 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
101 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
86 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-21.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
85 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-22.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$22.14Jul 10, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$21.13Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$10.45Jul 10, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$12.01Jul 10, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$11.29Jul 10, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$21.02Jul 10, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5.32Jul 10, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.96Jul 10, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$8.13Jul 10, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5.33Jul 10, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$13.25Jul 10, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$10.54Jul 10, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$24.48Jul 10, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$10.50Jul 10, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$36.37Jul 10, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$28.25Jul 10, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 10?$3.26Jul 10, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 10?$25.04Jul 10, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$9.42Jul 10, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$9.45Jul 10, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
31 closed markets, 10% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.