Merry-Deployment
0xbda1e4f48d6d321773f5068c7a4f772ad0c98372
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-91.58
Realised
$3.09
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?
36 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
25 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
19 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
16 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
16 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
14 shares @ 69.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?$5.00Mar 30, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$5.00Mar 23, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$2.51Feb 22, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.52Feb 22, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.39Feb 22, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.39Feb 22, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.24Feb 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$4.00Feb 22, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.75Feb 22, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$3.00Feb 22, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$2.00Feb 22, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$2.96Feb 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$3.01Feb 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$2.55Feb 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$9.88Feb 19, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$9.98Feb 19, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$7.11Feb 19, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$7.19Feb 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.70Feb 19, 18:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.