Full-Hypothesis
0xbda46b8d07df20ad85793f3b52c76dc5c4f1fc43
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$50.45
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.75
$-0.75
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.70
$-0.90
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 8AM ET
2010 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
1141 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-582.04
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.85May 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.01May 28, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.85May 28, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.90May 28, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.06May 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.80Apr 5, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$603.33Apr 5, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 12, 8AM ET$0.69Jan 12, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 12, 8AM ET$1.65Jan 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$4.50Jan 12, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 12, 8AM ET$1.0KJan 12, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$2.03Jan 12, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token in 2025?$2.00Dec 6, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $167.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".