Probable-Bacon
0xbda53f05c989c92be51d19407b17b059329c54b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$96.32
Total PnL
$-66.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
105 shares @ 95.6¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$96.32
$-3.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
1750 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 4?
82 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
22 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 4?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$99.29May 27, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$98.52May 27, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$53.43May 27, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$100.70May 27, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$100.46May 27, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$100.22May 27, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$101.62May 25, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$104.16May 25, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$102.75May 25, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$100.14May 24, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$50.16May 24, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$100.09May 24, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$100.20May 24, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$102.25May 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$100.11May 21, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$202.63May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$200.13May 19, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$72.07May 18, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$169.89May 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$100.22May 18, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $89.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 05:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 05:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".