Huge-Godparent
0xbda79b1f0c55213c49d7d2e0979c7ca30271fc55
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$569.04
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-76.80
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
1374 shares @ 32.4¢·now 23.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$322.86
$-122.17
- YES
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
5932 shares @ 8.2¢·now 4.2¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$246.18
$-239.32
- YES
Will Georgia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
24026 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-607.21
- YES
Will France win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
3551 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-454.08
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1700 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-108.80
- FEVER
Fever vs. Aces
1000 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-208.07
- YES
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?
510 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.53
- NO
Bitcoin above $114.5K on August 22 at 4PM ET?
300 shares @ 80.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-242.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?
160 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Bitcoin above $111K on August 25 at 4PM ET?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.