Discrete-Payoff
0xbda9598fd402684cdd15ba4abd9abd6d8cd7b45f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$167.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
3144 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
1857 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-914.68
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?
267 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-134.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
235 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-140.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
183 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- TATE
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
64 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-18.52
- YES
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?
50 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
47 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
46 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.93
- YES
Europe World Cup Qualifiers Parlay
45 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-19.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$14.45May 29, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$14.56May 29, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$26.26May 29, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$25.76May 29, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$25.07May 29, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$5.20May 29, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$16.54May 29, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$51.89May 29, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$103.28May 2, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$28.37May 2, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$20.30May 2, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$92.20May 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$104.68May 2, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$103.04May 2, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$4.76May 2, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$87.82May 2, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$86.76May 2, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$82.18May 2, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$78.77May 2, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$154.05May 2, 03:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $58.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 22:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".