Smart-Incarnation
0xbdae87cffb6c3541801b03e7d94fe0b952ffaed5
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$28.09
Total PnL
$1.81
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
18 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$18.48
$0.18
- YES
Tom Holland and Zendaya engaged in 2025?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.63
$1.63
- YES
Will BTS announce a new world tour in 2025?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.27
$0.27
- YES
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- NO
Supreme Court vacancy in 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion caused by lithium battery?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?$1.00Jan 2, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court vacancy in 2025?$1.00Jan 2, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?$1.00Jan 2, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Holland and Zendaya engaged in 2025?$1.00Jan 2, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$6.8KJan 2, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$7.4KJan 2, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$8.9KJan 2, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS announce a new world tour in 2025?$1.00Jan 2, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Cybertruck explosion caused by lithium battery?$1.00Jan 2, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS announce a new world tour in 2025?$1.00Jan 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?$1.00Jan 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$5.0KJan 2, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$9.1KJan 2, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$9.0KJan 2, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $3.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".