Alienated-Bargain
0xbdaf4b4a26f5ca2bb76f9ccce8c640402f0702d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$187.45
Total PnL
$-236.17
Realised
$9.77
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$44.39
$-2.61
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
238 shares @ 14.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.89
$1.89
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
369 shares @ 4.1¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.26
$3.26
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
504 shares @ 17.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.38
$-72.62
- YES
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
162 shares @ 18.5¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.36
$-15.64
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$10.80
$0.80
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
428 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.64
$-5.36
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
444 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.40
$0.00
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.46
$-0.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$35.00Jun 13, 14:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 12, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$16.20Jun 12, 10:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 11, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.24Jun 11, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 11, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$49.19Jun 11, 03:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$51.40Jun 10, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.42Jun 10, 18:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$30.00Jun 8, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$60.00Jun 8, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$89.71Jun 8, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$3.12Jun 8, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$5.20Jun 8, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $21.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.