Prime-Poison
0xbdaf6935d07182da3215899bb604c6f9813baecd
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$869.80
Total PnL
$-99.32
Realised
$282.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
600 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$598.50
$2.10
- YES
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
512 shares @ 72.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$271.30
$-97.25
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
2000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 19?
1168 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.08
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1020 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-112.23
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
650 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-32.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 12?
546 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.26
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
300 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
281 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.34
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 17?
200 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$130.00Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$596.40May 22, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$39.34May 14, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$115.70May 1, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$800.00Apr 30, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$799.24Apr 29, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$825.40Apr 29, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$824.66Apr 23, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$625.88Apr 17, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$9.00Apr 8, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$207.79Apr 8, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$831.99Apr 8, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$831.99Apr 8, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$120.07Mar 21, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$271.70Mar 21, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$438.55Mar 21, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$830.31Mar 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$826.99Mar 3, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$12.00Feb 27, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$9.20Feb 27, 11:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $283.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 23:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".