0xbdb2daa42f8f9fd4462f42e6e6578526f3afcd6e
0xbdb2daa42f8f9fd4462f42e6e6578526f3afcd6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-51.48
Realised
$-3.53
Win rate
0%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
6500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 2?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $48,000 on July 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- HANWHA LIFE ESPORTS
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$1.05Aug 5, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$4.08Aug 1, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.09Aug 1, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.09Aug 1, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$4.00Jul 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$2.09Jul 29, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$2.09Jul 29, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)$0.95Jul 25, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)$0.95Jul 25, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$3.85Jul 25, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$2.09Jul 25, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$2.09Jul 25, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)$1.03Jul 23, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)$1.03Jul 23, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Jul 20, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$2.12Jul 20, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$2.10Jul 20, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$1.05Jul 19, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.04Jul 19, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$5.13Jul 18, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
31 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 15:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.