Inconsequential-Parole
0xbdb35fd563b7162db5d9b87c3a12e567d7d36d89
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$18.24
Total PnL
$-26.91
Realised
$-26.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
3 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$2.57
$0.11
- NO
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$2.55
$0.00
- NO
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.87
$0.01
- NO
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.45
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.37
$0.01
- NO
Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$1.32
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.32
$0.01
- NO
Will Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$1.24
$0.00
- NO
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.21
$0.00
- NO
Will Meta have the top AI model on February 28?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$1.20
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?$1.12Feb 22, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 14-21?$1.13Feb 22, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be 35°F or higher on February 20?$1.30Feb 22, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBrighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?$102.43Feb 22, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on February 28?$1.20Feb 20, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?$1.00Feb 20, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?$102.54Feb 20, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?$15.5KFeb 20, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLCrystal Palace wins the Premier League?$7.1KFeb 20, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.4KFeb 20, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.00Feb 20, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be 35°F or higher on February 20?$1.30Feb 20, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland?$1.24Feb 20, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland?$1.32Feb 20, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 14-21?$1.13Feb 20, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?$1.12Feb 20, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.22Feb 20, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.43Feb 20, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?$1.31Feb 20, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?$1.36Feb 20, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 13:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".